INTERPRETACIÓN BAYESIANA DE CONTRATOS

Un artículo interesante sobre interpretación de los contratos que explica por qué los jueces tienden a considerar que las partes han querido pactar lo que la mayoría de la gente suele pactar a pesar de que el tenor literal del acuerdo indique que otra pudo ser la voluntad de las partes. Este es el resumen

Courts seeking the most likely intent of contracting parties should interpret contracts according to Bayes’ Rule. The best interpretation of a contract reflects both the prior likelihood (base rate) of a pair of contracting parties having a given intention as well as the probability that the contract would be written as it is given that intention. If the base rate of the intention associated with the simplest reading of the contract is low, then Bayes’ Rule implies that the simplest reading is not necessarily the interpretation of the contract that most likely captures the parties’ intentions. The Bayesian framework explains when default rules should be more or less “sticky” and helps define the appropriate role of boilerplate language in contractual interpretation.